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Written by Marty
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Thursday, 13 August 2009 06:51 |
Do you have the same challenges with AK as this player? - I’ve recently installed Hold Em Manager, one of the supposedly best poker software out there and I do agree, but now that I’ve played with it quite a while, I noticed an anomaly, or is it an anomaly if it’s backed up by the software’s data?
It seems as if this particular piece of poker software is telling me to get out of AKo pre-flop. I’ve tracked a sizable number of hands (maybe around 80K) on cash games. On cash games that I’ve played, the amount I’ve lost on AK pre flop is bigger than what I’ve earned winning with AK PF! Although I’ve won 68% of the hands I played, the value of the wins is less than the value PF my losses on big pots with AK. Granted that the number isn’t that big, what I mean is the disparity negligible but the glaring this is, although a general good play, AK wins more but when it loses it loses more than it wins? Does that make any sense?
Still, I think you should never fold AK pre-flop unless you absolutely know the opponent has something far better, like a KK or AA and fold only when you know the villain to be an extremely tight player.
Is 80K hands a big enough sample? I think so. Although I’ve not counted the hands I’ve played before I installed this particular poker software. Then there are the hands on the other sites I play on like full tilt poker. I’ve used this particular poker software on PokerStars only thus far and have not used it on cake poker as well.
Maybe that’s really it, that it just so happens that the sample I have points to losing overall in terms of money even though I win more hands. That might mean that I need to get better value for the AK when I do win so that’s a knock on my game. I still do believe that over an extended period, I should be playing AK because it is really one of the most profitable hands.
I will try and get a better sample in the low 100’s would probably do by added my stats from cake poker and full tilt and playing more hands on pokerstars to try and get a better view.
The reason I think the numbers are skewed this way is that I’ve recently run into buzzsaws getting all-in with AK pre flop lately. I know it’s a fifty percent hand against others but variance probably has something to do with my opponents catching sets and flushes over my top pair or two pair. It’s just sobering to learn that although I felt good about AK because I usually win with it, now that Hold Em Manager tells me I’ve actually lost more with that hand than did win in terms of money is a bummer. |
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